Sterling Hits 7‑Month High as Dollar Drops on Fed Concerns

April 26, 2025

Introduction

Sterling Hits 7‑Month High when it climbed above $1.34 against the dollar, driven by growing concerns that political pressure could undermine the Federal Reserve’s independence and by softer UK economic indicators.


Market Movements

Sterling rose to its strongest level since late September, reflecting a nearly 0.5% gain on the day.
The dollar fell to multi‑year lows versus the euro, yen and Swiss franc as investors weighed risks to US monetary policy.
The pound held firm despite slight dips against the euro, buoyed by recent strength in sterling markets.


Drivers of the Rally

Political Pressure on the Fed

Renewed criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell, including talk of his removal, spurred concerns that policy decisions could face political interference.

UK Economic Data

UK inflation eased to its lowest pace in three months, while hiring slowed ahead of a planned tax increase on employers.
Markets have priced in a quarter‑point rate cut by the Bank of England next month and further easing later in the year.


Broader Currency Impacts

The euro weakened against sterling, slipping from recent highs but remaining above key support levels.
The US dollar’s decline extended across major currencies, underscoring widespread concern about US rate policy under political strain.


Political and Trade Context

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s discussions with US leaders on trade and geopolitical issues highlighted the close link between diplomacy and currency flows.
Diplomatic engagement helped reassure markets even as economic data painted a mixed picture.


What’s Next?

Investors will focus on the Fed’s upcoming policy meeting for signs of resistance to political pressure or moves toward rate cuts.
In the UK, attention will turn to future inflation and jobs reports and the Bank of England’s next decision on interest rates.


Conclusion

The surge in sterling reflects both global worries over Fed independence and easing pressures at home.

For more on this and other developments, visit our Finance page.

For additional background on central bank mandates, see:
https://www.federalreserve.gov

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